Fundamentals of Time Series Econometrics - Period 1

Business & Economics Program
Amsterdam, Netherlands

Dates: 8/15/25 - 6/27/26

Business & Economics

Fundamentals of Time Series Econometrics - Period 1

Fundamentals of Time Series Econometrics - Period 1 Course Overview

OVERVIEW

CEA CAPA Partner Institution: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Location: Amsterdam, Netherlands
Primary Subject Area: Economics
Instruction in: English
Course Code: E_MFAE_FTSE
Transcript Source: Partner Institution
Course Details: Level 300
Recommended Semester Credits: 3
Contact Hours: 84
Prerequisites: This course builds on the foundations laid either in the sequence of courses in 'Quantitative Research Methods' (in the Economics programme) or in that of 'Business Statistics' and 'Business Mathematics' (in the Business Administration programme). It assumes familiarity with probability and statistics, such as discrete and continuous random variables, conditional expectations, hypothesis testing and central limit theorems. This material corresponds more or less to Part I (Chapters 1-3) in Stock and Watson (2011), and students are recommended to refresh their memory on this prior to the first lecture (see also Probability and Statistics: A Concise Review)

DESCRIPTION

This course covers both theoretical and practical aspects of time series econometrics including the analysis of stationary and non-stationary stochastic processes in economics, business and finance. The students are introduced to well-known univariate time series models, such as autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models and error correction models (ECM), and learn how to judge their appropriateness for modelling real-life data sets. Moreover, the course provides both theoretical and practical insights into parameter estimation for time-series models and the use of these models for tasks that are crucial for many practitioners: e.g., forecasting, testing for Granger causality, and performing policy analysis using impulse response functions. Finally, students become familiar with the fundamental problem of spurious regression in time-series analysis. We find a solution to this problem by taking a journey into the theory and practice behind unit-root tests, cointegration tests and error-correction representation theorems. In this way, students will be able to disentangle possible short-term and long-term dynamics in time series data.


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